Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Before 2030
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?0%Δ 0%
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Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
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$0
Market Rules
If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Yes
16.0%No
84.0%Confidence
0%Press Analyze to reveal confidence.
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