CA: EUwvqww7U1nsDAKQ748hooGSLCLgKuQMeVHS5VHjjZzZ

Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?

Before 2030

Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?0%Δ 0%
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Kalshi
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Amount
$0

Market Rules

If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?

Yes

15.5%

No

84.5%

Confidence

0%

Press Analyze to reveal confidence.

Order Bookfor Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?

YES Orders

Price
Quantity
$0.01
314,019
$0.02
4,810
$0.03
600
$0.04
2,075
$0.05
300
$0.07
11
$0.11
1,130
$0.12
6
$0.13
433
$0.14
599
$0.15
6

NO Orders

Price
Quantity
$0.02
269,030
$0.04
134,014
$0.05
44,100
$0.06
100
$0.07
39,000
$0.08
2,222
$0.09
2,525
$0.15
50,103
$0.16
3,000
$0.18
2,310
$0.23
2,100
$0.24
800
$0.25
300
$0.26
7
$0.29
10
$0.32
31
$0.34
1
$0.43
56
$0.44
1,052
$0.51
100
$0.52
60
$0.63
6
$0.64
1
$0.66
16
$0.72
1
$0.73
593
$0.75
97
$0.77
1,001
$0.78
20
$0.79
231
$0.80
15
$0.82
256
$0.83
42
$0.84
54
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