This market will resolve to "YES" if Premier League clubs spend €3.5 billion or more combined on incoming transfers during the summer 2026 transfer window, as shown on the Transfermarkt Premier League Income and Expenditures page. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO."

The total transfer spend will be determined by summing the "Expenditure" value shown for each of the 20 Premier League clubs on the Transfermarkt Premier League Income and Expenditures page (https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/premier-league/einnahmenausgaben/wettbewerb/GB1), after clicking "Display selection," with the following filters applied:

Period: from 26/27 until 26/27

Sorting: Expenditure

Further options: Grouped by club

Citizenship: All nationalities

Position: All positions

Age group: All age groups

Transfer date: Summer transfers only

Loans: All transfers

Transfers within the club: All transfers

This value will be taken from the page at 12:00 UTC on September 3, 2026.

If the Transfermarkt page is unavailable for 72 hours after this time, another credible resolution source may be chosen.