CA: EUwvqww7U1nsDAKQ748hooGSLCLgKuQMeVHS5VHjjZzZ
Kalshi Markets|PolyMarket Markets

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test before 2030?

Market Rules

If Kurzweil has won his bet that AI will pass the Turing Test by December 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test before 2030?

Yes

64.5%

No

35.5%
Order Bookfor Before 2030

YES Orders

Price
Quantity
$1
526,800
$2
89,300
$3
43,900
$4
29,900
$5
4,370
$7
6,400
$11
4,800
$15
4,900
$19
535
$23
444
$26
400
$28
100
$29
100
$30
201
$31
4
$45
653
$46
614
$47
568
$48
482
$49
462
$50
353
$51
187
$52
126
$58
2,000
$60
2,000
$62
949

NO Orders

Price
Quantity
$1
57,000
$2
5,400
$3
800
$4
1,200
$5
150
$6
333
$11
100
$16
653
$17
614
$18
568
$19
482
$20
462
$21
363
$22
192
$23
126
$29
2,000
$31
2,000
$33
890
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