CA:0xa037190057dc4dff19c0acee4562ee10269d9195
KalshiClimate and WeatherCloses May 1, 2030

EV market share in 2030?

84%0 pts today
Above 10% leads. Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
Volume
$2,191
24h volume
$3
Open interest
$541
Above 10%0%flat
Above 20%0%flat
Above 30%0%flat
Above 50%0%flat
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Outcomes

4 listed, price of Yes

How it resolves

rules from Kalshi

If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 10% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Analysis

One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.

Order book

646,106 contracts resting, best Yes bid 83¢, best No bid 13¢

Yes bids16 levels
PriceContracts
  • 83¢5
  • 82¢691
  • 38¢56
  • 37¢1,085
  • 31¢6
  • 15¢111
  • 11¢499
  • 10¢1,000
No bids9 levels
PriceContracts
  • 13¢11
  • 12¢69
  • 11¢500
  • 6¢10
  • 5¢10
  • 4¢10
  • 3¢25
  • 2¢889
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