KalshiPoliticsNo fixed close dateWhich of these African leaders will leave office next?
20%0 pts today
Bola Tinubu leads. Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $2,793
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $2,228
Bola Tinubu0%flat
Cyril Ramaphosa0%flat
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi0%flat
Abdelmadjid Tebboune0%flat
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Outcomes
10 listed, price of Yes- Bola Tinubu20%
- Cyril Ramaphosa+718%
- John Mahama-15%
How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the President of Nigeria is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
20,183 contracts resting, best Yes bid 27¢, best No bid 66¢
Yes bids8 levels
PriceContracts
- 27¢6
- 26¢500
- 19¢10
- 4¢996
- 4¢14
- 4¢62
- 3¢5,000
- 3¢40
No bids9 levels
PriceContracts
- 66¢500
- 11¢68
- 10¢20
- 4¢55
- 4¢38
- 3¢7,150
- 3¢14
- 2¢4,080
