KalshiScience and TechnologyNo fixed close dateWill humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Before 2050
25%+3 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $24,423
- 24h volume
- $210
- Open interest
- $9,609
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
24,312 contracts resting, best Yes bid 19¢, best No bid 76¢
Yes bids23 levels
PriceContracts
- 19¢386
- 18¢452
- 18¢10
- 17¢90
- 16¢1,000
- 16¢3
- 16¢9
- 15¢203
No bids13 levels
PriceContracts
- 76¢6
- 43¢2
- 42¢500
- 41¢200
- 34¢4
- 25¢4
- 23¢5
- 19¢1,766
