KalshiClimate and WeatherNo fixed close dateWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Before 2035
34%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $27,320
- 24h volume
- $14
- Open interest
- $14,319
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
59,562 contracts resting, best Yes bid 31¢, best No bid 66¢
Yes bids20 levels
PriceContracts
- 31¢24
- 28¢15
- 27¢69
- 26¢125
- 25¢1,012
- 24¢48
- 23¢100
- 17¢78
No bids27 levels
PriceContracts
- 66¢4
- 65¢150
- 57¢145
- 54¢100
- 53¢385
- 50¢97
- 45¢100
- 41¢24
