CA:0xa037190057dc4dff19c0acee4562ee10269d9195
KalshiClimate and WeatherNo fixed close date

When will a supervolcano next erupt?

Before Jan 1, 2050

29%+5 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
Volume
$34,952
24h volume
$1
Open interest
$10,984
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves

rules from Kalshi

If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Analysis

One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.

Order book

43,303 contracts resting, best Yes bid 24¢, best No bid 71¢

Yes bids22 levels
PriceContracts
  • 24¢54
  • 23¢100
  • 23¢258
  • 22¢100
  • 22¢14
  • 22¢76
  • 19¢200
  • 18¢100
No bids16 levels
PriceContracts
  • 71¢5
  • 70¢4
  • 69¢82
  • 67¢30
  • 39¢3
  • 39¢1
  • 26¢228
  • 25¢14
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