KalshiEconomicsNo fixed close dateFed funds rate at end of 2034
88%0 pts today
Above 1.25% leads. Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $419
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $242
Above 1.25%0%flat
Above 1.00%0%flat
Above 2.00%0%flat
Above 2.50%0%flat
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Outcomes
21 listed, price of Yes- Above 1.25%88%
- Above 1.00%79%
- Above 2.00%67%
- Above 2.50%64%
- Above 1.75%62%
- Above 2.25%62%
- Above 1.50%58%
- Above 3.00%55%
- Above 3.25%48%
- Above 3.50%48%
How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
309,796 contracts resting, best Yes bid 64¢, best No bid 13¢
Yes bids13 levels
PriceContracts
- 64¢65
- 44¢38
- 43¢698
- 42¢4,731
- 41¢1,638
- 31¢5,090
- 25¢2,404
- 23¢65
No bids3 levels
PriceContracts
- 13¢4
- 12¢8
- 10¢200
