CA:0xa037190057dc4dff19c0acee4562ee10269d9195
KalshiNo fixed close date

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.25%?

Above 4.25%

40%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
Volume
$105
24h volume
$0
Open interest
$92
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves

rules from Kalshi

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Analysis

One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.

Order book

338,551 contracts resting, best Yes bid 12¢, best No bid 39¢

Yes bids8 levels
PriceContracts
  • 12¢9
  • 11¢200
  • 7¢210
  • 6¢2,901
  • 4¢56
  • 3¢12,076
  • 2¢2,000
  • 1¢95,265
No bids8 levels
PriceContracts
  • 39¢200
  • 14¢245
  • 13¢4,129
  • 11¢13
  • 10¢1,903
  • 9¢7,033
  • 5¢14,488
  • 1¢197,823
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