KalshiPoliticsCloses Jan 1, 2030Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum before 2030?
Yes
28%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $4,771
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $1,299
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the Republic of Ireland agrees to or announces a formal government decision to hold a national referendum in the Republic of Ireland on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
29,066 contracts resting, best Yes bid 20¢, best No bid 72¢
Yes bids8 levels
PriceContracts
- 20¢10
- 19¢200
- 15¢2
- 6¢35
- 5¢363
- 4¢48
- 3¢5,000
- 1¢100
No bids15 levels
PriceContracts
- 72¢200
- 46¢4
- 45¢13
- 44¢42
- 43¢46
- 42¢344
- 41¢200
- 37¢4
