CA:0xa037190057dc4dff19c0acee4562ee10269d9195
KalshiScience and TechnologyNo fixed close date

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

Before 2050

33%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
Volume
$16,951
24h volume
$0
Open interest
$6,092
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves

rules from Kalshi

If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Analysis

One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.

Order book

21,539 contracts resting, best Yes bid 28¢, best No bid 67¢

Yes bids18 levels
PriceContracts
  • 28¢10
  • 27¢1
  • 26¢736
  • 25¢10
  • 24¢278
  • 23¢738
  • 18¢27
  • 15¢2
No bids11 levels
PriceContracts
  • 67¢573
  • 60¢3
  • 50¢1
  • 24¢28
  • 23¢40
  • 22¢987
  • 20¢3
  • 13¢5
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