CA:0xa037190057dc4dff19c0acee4562ee10269d9195
KalshiScience and TechnologyCloses Jan 1, 2031

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

52%0 pts today
United States leads. Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
Volume
$82,680
24h volume
$34
Open interest
$33,046
United States0%flat
China0%flat
Russia0%flat
India0%flat
Loading chart…

Outcomes

5 listed, price of Yes

How it resolves

rules from Kalshi

If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

Analysis

One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.

Order book

33,004 contracts resting, best Yes bid 52¢, best No bid 45¢

Yes bids16 levels
PriceContracts
  • 52¢26
  • 51¢60
  • 40¢2
  • 26¢200
  • 26¢86
  • 26¢0
  • 25¢546
  • 25¢10
No bids31 levels
PriceContracts
  • 45¢15
  • 44¢300
  • 44¢29
  • 43¢4
  • 40¢244
  • 37¢565
  • 36¢9
  • 31¢60
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