KalshiPoliticsCloses Jan 8, 2030Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
45%+4 pts today
Adam Telle leads. Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $3,825
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $1,735
Adam Telle0%flat
Sean Parnell0%flat
Brent Ingraham0%flat
W. Jordan Gillis0%flat
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Outcomes
9 listed, price of Yes- Adam Telle+445%
- Sean Parnell21%
- Michael Obadal-102%
- Marc Andersen-62%
How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf Adam Telle formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
43,930 contracts resting, best Yes bid 40¢, best No bid 53¢
Yes bids13 levels
PriceContracts
- 40¢6
- 39¢200
- 17¢31
- 16¢273
- 15¢351
- 10¢1
- 9¢46
- 8¢10,000
No bids18 levels
PriceContracts
- 53¢0
- 52¢6
- 51¢200
- 29¢7
- 28¢34
- 27¢73
- 26¢230
- 25¢268
