KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2030Will Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?
Yes
23%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $3,890
- 24h volume
- $944
- Open interest
- $1,222
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf Northern Ireland agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to hold a border poll on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
67,984 contracts resting, best Yes bid 23¢, best No bid 76¢
Yes bids10 levels
PriceContracts
- 23¢3,468
- 20¢300
- 8¢221
- 7¢285
- 6¢617
- 5¢2,428
- 4¢500
- 3¢6,346
No bids12 levels
PriceContracts
- 76¢4,201
- 50¢729
- 49¢200
- 47¢400
- 35¢2,130
- 26¢1,772
- 15¢284
- 13¢1,250
