KalshiPoliticsCloses Jan 1, 2030Will Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?
Yes
10%-6 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $4,140
- 24h volume
- $12
- Open interest
- $1,194
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf Northern Ireland agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to hold a border poll on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
18,593 contracts resting, best Yes bid 11¢, best No bid 82¢
Yes bids5 levels
PriceContracts
- 11¢15
- 10¢200
- 3¢178
- 2¢496
- 1¢100
No bids12 levels
PriceContracts
- 82¢6
- 81¢200
- 43¢58
- 42¢150
- 36¢527
- 35¢679
- 15¢178
- 14¢905
