KalshiHealthCloses Jan 1, 2030Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
Before 2030
4%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $41,881
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $18,015
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
60,165 contracts resting, best Yes bid 4¢, best No bid 92¢
Yes bids12 levels
PriceContracts
- 4¢5,000
- 4¢1,250
- 4¢3
- 4¢42
- 3¢5,001
- 3¢1,000
- 3¢5,000
- 3¢1,500
No bids26 levels
PriceContracts
- 92¢100
- 91¢25
- 90¢50
- 90¢151
- 87¢35
- 85¢6
- 80¢10
- 70¢15
