KalshiPoliticsNo fixed close dateWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?
Before Jan 1, 2033
20%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $2,181
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $73
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
4,860 contracts resting, best Yes bid 16¢, best No bid 81¢
Yes bids4 levels
PriceContracts
- 16¢3
- 15¢0
- 2¢35
- 1¢50
No bids10 levels
PriceContracts
- 81¢2
- 46¢38
- 31¢38
- 18¢54
- 15¢98
- 14¢141
- 8¢90
- 3¢39
