KalshiClimate and WeatherNo fixed close dateWill the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Before 2050
70%+6 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $21,613
- 24h volume
- $68
- Open interest
- $4,017
Price of Yes over time
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How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
13,957 contracts resting, best Yes bid 65¢, best No bid 31¢
Yes bids11 levels
PriceContracts
- 65¢49
- 64¢87
- 63¢500
- 38¢292
- 37¢51
- 31¢200
- 30¢600
- 7¢1
No bids12 levels
PriceContracts
- 31¢4
- 30¢21
- 29¢500
- 25¢120
- 24¢400
- 16¢151
- 15¢2
- 7¢51
