Additional context — Updated October 14, 2026

Seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).

If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Outcome verified from Ministry of Interior.