CA:0xa037190057dc4dff19c0acee4562ee10269d9195
Kalshi Markets|PolyMarket Markets|Limitless Markets
PoliticsFUNDED

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Volume: 10418.440920
Closes: January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM
Creator: Limitless
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Δ 0%
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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
YES Price
3.6%
NO Price
96.4%

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Price per share$0.036

Market Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes

4.1%

No

95.9%

Confidence

0%

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Bids (Buy Orders)

Price
Size
$0.036
1.0k
$0.003
269.44
$0.002
300.00
$0.001
5.0k

Asks (Sell Orders)

Price
Size
$0.046
1.0k
$0.142
27.10
$0.997
500.00
$0.999
4.0k
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