Will $AD reach a $1M market cap by Sep 25, 2026 at 4:00pm ET?

Settled by PredictionSwap at a $201K market cap. Each No share pays $1.00.

Volume: $0
Liquidity: $29
Target: $1M

Chance of Yes

every trade on Robinhood Chain

How this market settled

Settled No on Robinhood Chain by 0x5f43…4d92 (PredictionSwap keeper), automatically, Sep 26, 2026 at 4:10pm ET.

Settlement transaction 0x6a6c…54dd

Payouts

Nobody has redeemed or withdrawn yet.

Still to be claimed

Winning No shares: 24.69 = $24.69, 1 wallet
Liquidity in the pool: $41.36 41.56 LP shares, 1 provider
Losing Yes shares: 42.88 = $0.00, 1 wallet

The books

Deposited into this market (liquidity, buys)	$68.41
Paid out (sells, redemptions, LP withdrawals, LP fees)	− $2.21
Protocol share of $0.58 in trade fees, buys and burns $PSWAP	− $0.15
Still to be claimed (above)	− $66.05
Unaccounted for	$0.00

Every dollar deposited is either paid out, still claimable by its holder, or the protocol fee. Losing shares are worth nothing.

$AD at settlement

as recorded by the resolver

$201K

settlement market cap

$1M

target

-79.9%

below the target

How it settles

resolver, challenge window, contract

This market pays Yes if $AD's market cap is seen at or above $1M at any moment before Sep 25, 2026 at 4:00pm ET, and No otherwise. No price oracle covers an arbitrary token, so PredictionSwap's resolver records the market cap from Garp, proposes the outcome on chain with a hash of what it saw, and opens a 1-day challenge window. Anyone who disagrees can challenge by posting a $25 USDG bond; PredictionSwap then rules and the bond is returned unless the proposal stood. An unchallenged proposal becomes final on its own. Each winning share pays 1 USDG. If nothing is proposed for a week after the deadline, anyone can void the market and every share pays 50¢.

Token: $AD on Robinhood Chain, 0x63ff…926b
Target: $1M market cap, reached at any time before the deadline
Deadline: Sep 25, 2026 at 4:00pm ET
Market cap: Price times total supply, across every pool, as tracked by Garp (DexScreener as fallback)
Challenge: 1-day window, $25 USDG bond; PredictionSwap rules on disputes
Trading fee: 2% per trade, three quarters to liquidity providers, the rest buys and burns $PSWAP
Created by: 0x6c5B…5814
Contract: 0xC911…3c86 on Robinhood Chain, token market #11
Settled: No, at a $201K market cap

USDG to add

Liquidity shares you get: —

The pool keeps its current odds; if your deposit does not fit those odds exactly, the extra comes back to you as Yes or No shares. The pool ends up holding more of the side traders sold: if that side loses, liquidity providers lose part of their deposit, and fees offset that. Withdraw any time, before or after settlement. Liquidity shares cannot be transferred.