0xa037190057dc4dff19c0acee4562ee10269d9195
PredictionSwap$ADRobinhood ChainOpenDeadline Sep 25, 2026 at 4:00pm ETMarket cap is price times total supply across every pool the token trades in, as tracked by Garp. A touch market settles Yes the moment the resolver sees it at or above the target.
This market pays Yes if $AD's market cap is seen at or above $1M at any moment before Sep 25, 2026 at 4:00pm ET, and No otherwise. No price oracle covers an arbitrary token, so PredictionSwap's resolver records the market cap from Garp, proposes the outcome on chain with a hash of what it saw, and opens a 1-day challenge window. Anyone who disagrees can challenge by posting a $25 USDG bond; PredictionSwap then rules and the bond is returned unless the proposal stood. An unchallenged proposal becomes final on its own. Each winning share pays 1 USDG. If nothing is proposed for a week after the deadline, anyone can void the market and every share pays 50¢.
The pool keeps its current odds; if your deposit does not fit those odds exactly, the extra comes back to you as Yes or No shares. The pool ends up holding more of the side traders sold: if that side loses, liquidity providers lose part of their deposit, and fees offset that. Withdraw any time, before or after settlement. Liquidity shares cannot be transferred.

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