KalshiCompaniesCloses Apr 1, 2028When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Apr 1, 2028
52%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $15,983
- 24h volume
- $314
- Open interest
- $11,183
Price of Yes over time
Loading chart…
Outcomes
12 listed, price of Yes- Before Jan 1, 2030-180%
- Before Oct 1, 2028-269%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-437%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+135%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-435%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+522%
How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
144,013 contracts resting, best Yes bid 51¢, best No bid 48¢
Yes bids13 levels
PriceContracts
- 51¢258
- 50¢376
- 48¢200
- 42¢1,000
- 23¢46
- 22¢1,426
- 13¢550
- 12¢1,888
No bids11 levels
PriceContracts
- 48¢1,033
- 47¢20
- 46¢1
- 45¢200
- 29¢1
- 14¢607
- 13¢1,709
- 7¢486
