KalshiEconomicsNo fixed close dateMacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?
At least 15%
30%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $31
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $20
Price of Yes over time
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Outcomes
2 listed, price of Yes- Below 15%80%
- At least 15%30%
How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the highest percentage increase in U.S. real GDP per capita over its previous peak for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 is at least 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
4,825 contracts resting, best Yes bid 20¢, best No bid 71¢
Yes bids5 levels
PriceContracts
- 20¢500
- 5¢200
- 3¢44
- 2¢1,729
- 1¢100
No bids5 levels
PriceContracts
- 71¢10
- 70¢500
- 18¢248
- 17¢1,394
- 1¢100
