KalshiEconomicsCloses Jan 1, 2031Fed funds rate at end of 2030
Above 3.50%
58%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $1
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $1
Price of Yes over time
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Outcomes
21 listed, price of Yes- Above 1.25%75%
- Above 1.00%73%
- Above 2.25%73%
- Above 1.75%72%
- Above 2.00%72%
- Above 2.50%72%
- Above 1.50%68%
- Above 3.00%68%
- Above 2.75%67%
- Above 3.50%58%
How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
541,421 contracts resting, best Yes bid 22¢, best No bid 29¢
Yes bids9 levels
PriceContracts
- 22¢200
- 17¢32
- 16¢51
- 15¢3,962
- 11¢11,667
- 8¢11,396
- 5¢2,022
- 4¢21,505
No bids7 levels
PriceContracts
- 29¢1
- 28¢200
- 9¢251
- 8¢7,596
- 5¢2,030
- 4¢24,221
- 1¢239,728
