KalshiEconomicsNo fixed close dateFed funds rate at end of 2031
Above 3.25%
52%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $101
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $48
Price of Yes over time
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Outcomes
21 listed, price of Yes- Above 1.00%89%
- Above 1.25%77%
- Above 2.00%71%
- Above 2.50%71%
- Above 1.50%68%
- Above 1.75%68%
- Above 2.25%68%
- Above 2.75%52%
- Above 3.25%52%
- Above 3.50%52%
How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
286,196 contracts resting, best Yes bid 50¢, best No bid 33¢
Yes bids12 levels
PriceContracts
- 50¢40
- 49¢2
- 26¢98
- 25¢155
- 19¢170
- 17¢13
- 16¢55
- 15¢2,536
No bids11 levels
PriceContracts
- 33¢3
- 32¢5
- 28¢100
- 27¢200
- 12¢14
- 11¢44
- 9¢200
- 8¢580
