KalshiPoliticsNo fixed close dateWhich G7 leader will leave office next?
Friedrich Merz
9%+4 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $10,869
- 24h volume
- $2
- Open interest
- $4,718
Price of Yes over time
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Outcomes
7 listed, price of Yes- Emmanuel Macron-176%
- Friedrich Merz+49%
- Donald Trump+13%
How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the individual holding the title of Chancellor of Germany at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
Resting orders on Kalshi, best price first.
Yes bids
PriceContracts
- No resting orders on this side.
No bids
PriceContracts
- No resting orders on this side.
