KalshiPoliticsCloses Jan 21, 2029Who will Trump pardon?
Scott Bessent
49%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $4,608
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $2,507
Price of Yes over time
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Outcomes
52 listed, price of Yes- Justin Sun+7398%
- Pete Hegseth84%
- Donald Trump Jr.+159%
- Eric Trump+955%
- Donald Trump-152%
- Barron Trump50%
- Todd Blanche42%
How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf Scott Bessent has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
35,472 contracts resting, best Yes bid 42¢, best No bid 51¢
Yes bids10 levels
PriceContracts
- 42¢5
- 40¢500
- 33¢2
- 26¢30
- 25¢930
- 12¢501
- 11¢2,109
- 3¢3,300
No bids15 levels
PriceContracts
- 51¢2
- 50¢522
- 49¢23
- 30¢21
- 29¢35
- 27¢46
- 26¢352
- 25¢49
