CA:0xa037190057dc4dff19c0acee4562ee10269d9195
KalshiPoliticsCloses Jan 1, 2030

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

Before 2030

38%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
Volume
$10,041
24h volume
$0
Open interest
$4,493
Price of Yes over time
Loading chart…

Outcomes

3 listed, price of Yes

How it resolves

rules from Kalshi

If the U.S. government has taken operational control of any private AI company or project before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Analysis

One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.

Order book

54,295 contracts resting, best Yes bid 33¢, best No bid 63¢

Yes bids22 levels
PriceContracts
  • 33¢7
  • 32¢5
  • 31¢9
  • 30¢500
  • 27¢31
  • 26¢16
  • 19¢88
  • 18¢166
No bids14 levels
PriceContracts
  • 63¢5
  • 62¢504
  • 46¢116
  • 45¢117
  • 35¢39
  • 34¢2
  • 16¢2
  • 11¢57
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