KalshiScience and TechnologyCloses Jan 1, 2031Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
China
28%-3 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $48,905
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $19,744
Price of Yes over time
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Outcomes
5 listed, price of Yes- United States+355%
- China-328%
- Russia2%
- India1%
How it resolves
rules from KalshiIf China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
14,557 contracts resting, best Yes bid 28¢, best No bid 69¢
Yes bids13 levels
PriceContracts
- 28¢88
- 28¢20
- 28¢240
- 28¢15
- 26¢5
- 21¢45
- 20¢60
- 19¢1,390
No bids13 levels
PriceContracts
- 69¢213
- 64¢158
- 57¢94
- 50¢206
- 29¢6
- 28¢906
- 28¢577
- 25¢243
