KalshiPoliticsCloses Jan 20, 2029Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Before Jan 20, 2029
10%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $29,671
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $9,053
Price of Yes over time
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Outcomes
2 listed, price of YesHow it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
28,868 contracts resting, best Yes bid 10¢, best No bid 88¢
Yes bids19 levels
PriceContracts
- 10¢3
- 9¢2
- 9¢2
- 8¢103
- 8¢203
- 8¢2
- 8¢3
- 8¢30
No bids21 levels
PriceContracts
- 88¢2
- 86¢1
- 85¢237
- 71¢30
- 70¢200
- 57¢53
- 56¢413
- 55¢88
