KalshiPoliticsCloses Jan 1, 2027Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Before 2027
1%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $9,073
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $3,165
Price of Yes over time
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Outcomes
2 listed, price of YesHow it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
22,359 contracts resting, best Yes bid 1¢, best No bid 98¢
Yes bids1 levels
PriceContracts
- 1¢204
No bids16 levels
PriceContracts
- 98¢6
- 97¢1
- 96¢1
- 95¢2
- 93¢200
- 76¢1
- 63¢64
- 62¢542
