KalshiPoliticsCloses Jan 1, 2027Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2027
3%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $204,491
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $114,798
Price of Yes over time
Loading chart…
Outcomes
4 listed, price of YesHow it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
120,453 contracts resting, best Yes bid 3¢, best No bid 95¢
Yes bids14 levels
PriceContracts
- 3¢149
- 3¢714
- 3¢5,000
- 2¢709
- 2¢4,200
- 2¢10,000
- 1¢2,000
- 1¢1,666
No bids29 levels
PriceContracts
- 95¢1,000
- 86¢171
- 81¢192
- 79¢300
- 76¢1
- 75¢100
- 70¢909
- 69¢1,500
