KalshiPoliticsCloses Jan 1, 2029Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2029
28%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $22,952
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $6,846
Price of Yes over time
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Outcomes
4 listed, price of YesHow it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
26,102 contracts resting, best Yes bid 27¢, best No bid 72¢
Yes bids4 levels
PriceContracts
- 27¢7
- 4¢10
- 2¢550
- 1¢50
No bids15 levels
PriceContracts
- 72¢398
- 65¢100
- 59¢100
- 42¢61
- 41¢239
- 39¢287
- 31¢550
- 30¢1,397
