KalshiPoliticsCloses Jan 1, 2028Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2028
20%0 pts today
Chance of Yes, the market price on Kalshi.
- Volume
- $40,743
- 24h volume
- $0
- Open interest
- $17,779
Price of Yes over time
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Outcomes
4 listed, price of YesHow it resolves
rules from KalshiIf the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Analysis
One plain read on where this price sits, from the rules, the book and the news.
Order book
41,258 contracts resting, best Yes bid 16¢, best No bid 80¢
Yes bids16 levels
PriceContracts
- 16¢5
- 15¢827
- 11¢20
- 9¢76
- 9¢3
- 8¢15
- 7¢1
- 7¢1
No bids24 levels
PriceContracts
- 80¢485
- 79¢30
- 75¢5
- 74¢5
- 53¢200
- 52¢125
- 50¢562
- 48¢150
