CA:0xa037190057dc4dff19c0acee4562ee10269d9195
Kalshi Markets|PolyMarket Markets|Limitless Markets
World
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
Yes
11%
89%
No
Elections
Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
Klaus Iohannis
23%
Kaja Kallas
13%
Elections
Who will the next Pope be?
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
4%
Pietro Parolin
5%
Climate and Weather
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Yes
84%
17%
No
Science and Technology
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Yes
32%
69%
No
Climate and Weather
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
Yes
27%
74%
No
Science and Technology
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Yes
22%
79%
No
Elections
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
Yes
10%
91%
No
Politics
Who will be the next DNC Chair?
Ben Wikler
13%
Jane Kleeb
50%
Science and Technology
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
18%
Hodge Conjecture
61%
Elections
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?
Ding Xuexiang
25%
Chen Jining
5%
Elections
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
Yes
15%
85%
No
Elections
Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?
Mugur Isărescu
2%
Mircea Geoană
2%
Elections
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
8%
Yoav Gallant
1%
Politics
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
Mark Carney
2%
Emmanuel Macron
59%
Sports
Kylian Mbappe Total FIFA World Cup Career Goals
30+ Goals Scored
83%
35+ Goals Scored
21%
Sports
New York J: To Break Playoff Drought
2026-27 season
13%
2027-28 season
38%
Science and Technology
When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
Before 2028
36%
Before 2029
38%
Financials
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
Ramp
51%
Brex
6%
Financials
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
OpenAI
9%
Anthropic
93%
Science and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2030
31%
Before 2035
48%
Financials
Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?
Deel
63%
Rippling
37%
Economics
US real GDP growth in 2036?
0.0% or Below
10%
0.1% to 0.5%
4%
Economics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2036
Above 0.0%
89%
Above 0.5%
81%
Economics
US nominal GDP growth in 2036
Above 0.0%
50%
Above 0.5%
50%
Economics
US unemployment rate at year-end 2036
Above 3.0%
47%
Above 3.5%
50%
Economics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2036
Above 56.00%
51%
Above 56.50%
50%
Economics
Fed funds rate at end of 2036
Above 1.00%
71%
Above 1.25%
80%
Economics
US real GDP growth in 2035?
0.0% or Below
15%
0.1% to 0.5%
10%
Economics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2035
Above 0.0%
61%
Above 0.5%
51%
Economics
US nominal GDP growth in 2035
Above 0.0%
50%
Above 0.5%
50%
Economics
US unemployment rate at year-end 2035
Above 3.0%
50%
Above 3.5%
50%
Economics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035
Above 56.00%
97%
Above 56.50%
50%
Economics
Fed funds rate at end of 2035
Above 1.00%
68%
Above 1.25%
67%
Sports
Miles Russell: Golf Majors before 2036
1+ golf major championship wins
82%
2+ golf major championship wins
49%
Sports
Jackson Koivun: Golf Majors before 2036
1+ golf major championship wins
71%
2+ golf major championship wins
77%
Financials
Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?
Marianne Lake
2%
Mary Erdoes
49%
Financials
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?
John Waldron
50%
Marc Nachmann
11%
Social
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
Yes
18%
83%
No
Climate and Weather
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Yes
33%
68%
No
Economics
US real GDP growth in 2034?
0.0% or Below
11%
0.1% to 0.5%
5%
Economics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034
Above 0.0%
51%
Above 0.5%
56%
Economics
US nominal GDP growth in 2034
Above 0.0%
95%
Above 0.5%
91%
Economics
US unemployment rate at year-end 2034
Above 3.0%
50%
Above 3.5%
50%
Economics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034
Above 56.00%
97%
Above 56.50%
50%
Elections
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Nigel Farage
44%
Kemi Badenoch
43%
Economics
Fed funds rate at end of 2034
Above 1.00%
69%
Above 1.25%
76%
Science and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
Yes
49%
52%
No
Entertainment
Next James Bond film: Artist performing the James Bond Theme
Dua Lipa
17%
Lana Del Rey
19%
Entertainment
Next Pirates of the Caribbean film: Will Johnny Depp be cast?
Yes
73%
28%
No
Science and Technology
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
Before 2030
31%
Before 2031
39%
Elections
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
Yes
4%
97%
No
Politics
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
William Ruto
6%
Cyril Ramaphosa
14%
Entertainment
Next Miami Vice film: Cast
Ryan Gosling
9%
Oscar Isaac
8%
Economics
US real GDP growth in 2033?
0.0% or Below
10%
0.1% to 0.5%
10%
Economics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033
Above 0.0%
89%
Above 0.5%
64%
Economics
US nominal GDP growth in 2033
Above 0.0%
50%
Above 0.5%
50%
Economics
MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?
At least 15%
25%
Below 15%
75%
Economics
US unemployment rate at year-end 2033
Above 3.0%
50%
Above 3.5%
50%
Economics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2033
Above 56.00%
50%
Above 56.50%
50%
Economics
Fed funds rate at end of 2033
Above 1.00%
82%
Above 1.25%
80%
Sports
Who will host the 2038 FIFA World Cup?
Germany
5%
Italy
6%
Economics
US real GDP growth in 2032?
0.0% or Below
5%
0.1% to 0.5%
6%
Economics
US trade deficit for 2032
Above $500 billion
51%
Above $600 billion
51%
Economics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2032
Above 0.0%
85%
Above 0.5%
51%
Economics
US nominal GDP growth in 2032
Above 0.0%
95%
Above 0.5%
92%
Elections
Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
Democratic party
48%
Republican party
28%
Economics
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032
Above 3.0%
83%
Above 3.5%
85%
Economics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2032
Above 56.00%
97%
Above 56.50%
50%
Politics
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
Yes
18%
83%
No
Economics
Fed funds rate at end of 2032
Above 1.00%
69%
Above 1.25%
79%
Economics
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
Larry Ellison
4%
Mark Zuckerberg
22%
Health
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
Yes
39%
62%
No
Climate and Weather
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes
41%
60%
No
Sports
Grady Emerson: Debut Date
Before Nov 1, 2029
21%
Before May 1, 2030
27%
Economics
US real GDP growth in 2031?
0.0% or Below
11%
0.1% to 0.5%
7%
Economics
US trade deficit for 2031
Above $500 billion
51%
Above $600 billion
51%
Economics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031
Above 0.0%
88%
Above 0.5%
51%
Economics
US nominal GDP growth in 2031
Above 0.0%
96%
Above 0.5%
93%
Economics
US unemployment rate at year-end 2031
Above 3.0%
50%
Above 3.5%
50%
Economics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2031
Above 56.00%
87%
Above 56.50%
95%
Economics
Fed funds rate at end of 2031
Above 1.00%
92%
Above 1.25%
84%
Economics
Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release
Above 80%
91%
Above 81%
81%
Science and Technology
When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?
Before 2027
51%
Before 2028
37%
Science and Technology
When will P vs NP be resolved?
Before 2027
50%
Before 2028
38%
Science and Technology
When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
Before 2027
36%
Before 2028
48%
Science and Technology
When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
Before 2027
12%
Before 2028
50%
Science and Technology
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
Before Jan 1, 2027
9%
Before Jan 1, 2028
21%
Climate and Weather
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes
62%
38%
No
Sports
Vahn Lackey: Debut Date
Before Nov 1, 2028
51%
Before May 1, 2029
75%
Sports
Roch Cholowsky: Debut Date
Before Nov 1, 2026
24%
Before Nov 1, 2027
70%
Sports
Jackson Flora: Debut Date
Before Nov 1, 2028
60%
Before May 1, 2029
68%
Sports
Matthew Stafford: Retirement
Before the 2026-27 season
50%
Before the 2027-28 season
57%
Sports
Mike Evans: Retirement
Before the 2026-27 season
50%
Before the 2027-28 season
50%
Sports
Lane Johnson: Retirement
Before the 2026-27 season
50%
Before the 2027-28 season
51%
Sports
Kirk Cousins: Retirement
Before the 2026-27 season
50%
Before the 2027-28 season
16%
Sports
When will Joe Flacco retire?
Before the 2026-27 season
50%
Before the 2027-28 season
30%
Sports
Derrick Henry: Retirement
Before the 2026-27 season
50%
Before the 2027-28 season
50%
Sports
Davante Adams: Retirement
Before the 2026-27 season
50%
Before the 2027-28 season
56%
Economics
US real GDP growth in 2030?
0.0% or Below
10%
0.1% to 0.5%
4%
Economics
US trade deficit for 2030
Above $500 billion
51%
Above $600 billion
51%
Economics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030
Above 0.0%
51%
Above 0.5%
86%
Economics
US nominal GDP growth in 2030
Above 0.0%
50%
Above 0.5%
50%
Economics
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030
Above 3.0%
50%
Above 3.5%
50%
Economics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030
Above 56.00%
98%
Above 56.50%
50%
Economics
Fed funds rate at end of 2030
Above 1.00%
86%
Above 1.25%
80%
Sports
Who will host the 2031 Pro Football Championship?
Buffalo
13%
Miami
50%
Elections
Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?
Hakeem Jeffries
85%
Jim Jordan
13%
Science and Technology
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
54%
Russia
1%
Companies
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Oct 1, 2026
3%
Before Jan 1, 2027
13%
Sports
2030 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers
Mexico
95%
Ireland
45%
Sports
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
Mexico
3%
Ireland
0%
Climate and Weather
US meets its climate goals?
By 2025
9%
By 2030
19%
Entertainment
The Last of Us S3: Release date
Before Oct 2026
2%
Before Jan 2027
5%
Climate and Weather
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Traditional biomass
3%
Oil
66%
Sports
When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?
Before Dec 1, 2026
57%
Before Jan 1, 2027
66%
Sports
When will Kyle Whittingham leave Michigan?
Before Dec 1, 2026
51%
Before Jan 1, 2027
51%
Sports
When will Dabo Swinney leave Clemson?
Before Dec 1, 2026
42%
Before Jan 1, 2027
39%
Sports
When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?
Before Dec 1, 2026
78%
Before Jan 1, 2027
72%
Entertainment
Tom Cruise cast in another film with Ana de Armas?
Yes
51%
50%
No
Elections
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
Avigdor Lieberman
23%
Benjamin Netanyahu
3%
Sports
Ethan Holliday: Debut Date
Before Nov 1, 2028
13%
Before May 1, 2029
30%
Elections
Next Canadian federal election winner?
Liberal Party
60%
Conservative Party
38%
Entertainment
Next Indiana Jones film: Will Glenn Powell be cast?
Yes
26%
75%
No
Sports
Texas Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
1+ championships
73%
2+ championships
56%
Sports
Philadelphia Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
1+ championships
56%
2+ championships
26%
Sports
Ohio Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
1+ championships
50%
2+ championships
19%
Sports
New York Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
2+ championships
55%
3+ championships
35%
Sports
Minnesota Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
1+ championships
34%
2+ championships
9%
Sports
Miami Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
1+ championships
45%
2+ championships
14%
Sports
Los Angeles Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
1+ championships
84%
2+ championships
58%
Sports
Denver Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
1+ championships
33%
2+ championships
11%
Sports
Chicago Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
1+ championships
56%
2+ championships
20%
Sports
Boston Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
1+ championships
31%
2+ championships
31%
Sports
Bay Area Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
1+ championships
39%
2+ championships
15%
Sports
Canadian Team to Win the Stanley Cup® Before the 2030-31 Season
Yes
42%
58%
No
Sports
Golfers to win a PGA Tour Major before 2030
Ludvig Aberg
53%
Daniel Berger
48%
Sports
Mauricio Pochettino: Out from USMNT
Yes
55%
45%
No
Sports
Will the new Flyers/Philadelphia Pro Basketball arena be completed before May 1, 2030?
Yes
45%
55%
No
Sports
UConn to win every Big East Conference Tournament through 2030
Yes
73%
28%
No
Elections
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?
Narendra Modi
27%
Rahul Gandhi
7%
Sports
Max Verstappen: Retirement
Before the 2027 season
3%
Before the 2028 season
32%
Elections
Next German federal election winner?
AfD
85%
SPD
3%
Economics
US real GDP growth in 2029?
0.0% or Below
8%
0.1% to 0.5%
6%
Economics
US trade deficit for 2029
Above $500 billion
75%
Above $600 billion
75%
Economics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029
Above 0.0%
91%
Above 0.5%
69%
Economics
US nominal GDP growth in 2029
Above 0.0%
50%
Above 0.5%
50%
Entertainment
Time's Person of the Decade
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
42%
Elon Musk
35%
Climate and Weather
EV market share in 2030?
Above 10%
85%
Above 20%
66%
Economics
US unemployment rate at year-end 2029
Above 3.0%
50%
Above 3.5%
50%
Economics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2029
Above 56.00%
98%
Above 56.50%
50%
Politics
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Before Jan 1, 2027
2%
Before Jan 1, 2028
6%
Politics
Will Wales announce an independence referendum?
Yes
18%
83%
No
Elections
In what year will the next UK general election be held?
2026
3%
2027
36%
Politics
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
Yes
24%
77%
No
Politics
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
Michael Obadal
49%
Sean Parnell
18%
Elections
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
Rebecca Patterson
11%
Michael Faulkender
49%
Politics
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2027
1%
Before Jan 1, 2028
5%
Politics
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
Yes
24%
77%
No
Politics
Will Congressional salaries increase?
Before Jan 1, 2027
10%
Before Jan 1, 2028
31%
Economics
Fed funds rate at end of 2029
Above 1.00%
79%
Above 1.25%
88%
Economics
How high will unemployment get before 2030?
Above 5%
91%
Above 6%
84%
Entertainment
Britney Spears biopic: Actress cast as Britney Spears
Margot Robbie
1%
Addison Rae
30%
Entertainment
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
Peter Dinklage
33%
Rosamund Pike
35%
Entertainment
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as Q
Ben Whishaw
31%
Dev Patel
16%
Entertainment
Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny
Naomie Harris
31%
Juno Temple
33%
Entertainment
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M
Ralph Fiennes
35%
Idris Elba
10%
Entertainment
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as Felix Leiter
Wyatt Russell
35%
Anthony Mackie
53%
Entertainment
Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl
Sydney Sweeney
22%
Anya Taylor-Joy
17%
Entertainment
When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?
Before 2027
8%
Before 2028
43%
Sports
Will the 2030 Men's World Cup Tournament have 64 teams?
Yes
76%
24%
No
Politics
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
Yes
50%
50%
No
Politics
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
Yes
35%
66%
No
Elections
Next government of the United Kingdom?
Reform UK majority
52%
Reform UK minority
53%
Entertainment
A Court Of Thorns and Roses: Released before 2030?
Yes
57%
44%
No
Politics
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2027
4%
Before Jan 1, 2028
18%
Sports
Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030
Yes
69%
32%
No
Sports
Will LeBron James be a majority owner of a men's Pro Basketball team before 2030?
Yes
9%
92%
No
Science and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Yes
23%
77%
No
Sports
Portland Trailblazers bought and changed to Seattle SuperSonics?
Yes
14%
87%
No
Entertainment
Will there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending?
Yes
62%
38%
No
Entertainment
Will there be an announcement that Family Guy is ending?
Yes
44%
56%
No
Politics
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Yes
59%
42%
No
Health
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
Yes
6%
94%
No
Economics
Will Kai Cenat become a billionaire before 2030?
Yes
12%
89%
No
Sports
Wyoming to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season
Yes
12%
89%
No
Sports
West Virginia to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season
Yes
13%
88%
No
Sports
Tulane to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season
Yes
39%
62%
No
Sports
Nebraska to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season
Yes
37%
64%
No
Sports
North Dakota St. to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season
Yes
24%
77%
No
Sports
Kansas to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season
Yes
16%
85%
No
Sports
Iowa to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season
Yes
47%
54%
No
Sports
Arkansas to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season
Yes
18%
83%
No
Sports
Will there be a new Pro Basketball team added before 2030?
Yes
92%
9%
No
Sports
Will a Seattle Pro Basketball team play a game before 2030?
Yes
83%
18%
No
Entertainment
Austin Powers 4: Release Date
Before 2028
21%
Before July 2028
42%
Entertainment
James Bond · Release Date
Before Jul 1, 2027
7%
Before Jan 1, 2028
34%
Entertainment
Prison Break: New season release date
Before Jan 1, 2027
20%
Before Jul 1, 2027
41%
Entertainment
Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
Before Jan 1, 2027
21%
Before Jul 1, 2027
39%
Companies
Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?
Jennifer Piepszak
22%
Marianne Lake
3%
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