CA: EUwvqww7U1nsDAKQ748hooGSLCLgKuQMeVHS5VHjjZzZ
Kalshi Markets|PolyMarket Markets|Limitless Markets
World
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
Yes
9%
92%
No
World
Who will the next Pope be?
Pietro Parolin
2%
Peter Erdo
2%
Climate and Weather
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Yes
81%
20%
No
Science and Technology
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Yes
12%
89%
No
Climate and Weather
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
Yes
13%
88%
No
Science and Technology
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Yes
16%
84%
No
Politics
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
Yes
7%
94%
No
Politics
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?
Zhao Leji
11%
Zhang Guoqing
4%
Politics
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
Yes
18%
83%
No
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yariv Levin
2%
Yair Lapid
13%
Politics
Which G7 leader will leave next?
Sanae Takaichi
15%
Mark Carney
3%
Financials
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
Ramp
71%
Brex
31%
Financials
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Anthropic
30%
OpenAI
72%
Science and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2040
40%
Before 2035
35%
Financials
Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?
Rippling
20%
Deel
79%
Social
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
Yes
14%
86%
No
Climate and Weather
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Yes
19%
81%
No
Science and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
Yes
37%
64%
No
Entertainment
Who will perform the next James Bond theme?
Miley Cyrus
7%
Sabrina Carpenter
8%
World
Who will the next Pope be?
Raymond Leo Burke
2%
Pietro Parolin
3%
Entertainment
Will Johnny Depp be cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean?
Yes
47%
53%
No
Elections
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
Yes
6%
95%
No
Politics
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
John Mahama
5%
Félix Tshisekedi
18%
Entertainment
Who will be cast in the next Miami Vice?
Richard Madden
6%
Garrett Hedlund
6%
Health
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
Yes
26%
75%
No
Climate and Weather
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes
49%
51%
No
Climate and Weather
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes
79%
21%
No
Politics
Who will be the next Speaker of the House?
Steve Scalise
16%
Jim Jordan
16%
Science and Technology
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
30%
Russia
4%
Climate and Weather
US meets its climate goals?
By 2030
12%
By 2025
3%
Entertainment
When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?
Before Jan 2028
85%
Before Jul 2027
71%
Climate and Weather
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Modern biofuels
1%
Wind
1%
Entertainment
Will Tom Cruise be cast in another Film With Ana de Armas?
Yes
49%
51%
No
Science and Technology
AI passes Turing test before 2030?
Yes
64%
36%
No
Entertainment
Will Glen Powell be cast in the next Indiana Jones movie?
Yes
28%
73%
No
Sports
Canadian team wins the hockey championship before the 2031 season?
Yes
65%
35%
No
Politics
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?
Xi Jinping
8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
7%
Climate and Weather
EV market share in 2030?
Above 50%
25%
Above 30%
52%
Economics
How high will unemployment get before 2030?
Above 20%
13%
Above 17%
16%
Politics
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
Yes
28%
72%
No
Entertainment
Will A Court Of Thorns and Roses be released?
Yes
51%
49%
No
Economics
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Sergey Brin
2%
Steve Ballmer
2%
Social
Who will be Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?
Patrick Mahomes
69%
Kumar Ferguson
82%
Social
Who will be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?
Kylie Kelce
58%
Zoë Kravitz
40%
Social
Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur?
Tennessee
17%
Rhode Island
62%
Sports
Will LeBron James be a majority owner of a pro men's basketball team before 2030?
Yes
21%
80%
No
Science and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Yes
34%
67%
No
Sports
Portland Trailblazers bought and changed to Seattle SuperSonics?
Yes
3%
97%
No
Entertainment
Will there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending?
Yes
62%
39%
No
Entertainment
Will there be an announcement that Family Guy is ending?
Yes
50%
50%
No
Health
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
Yes
7%
94%
No
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Rupert Lowe
3%
Bridget Phillipson
3%
Sports
Will the NBA add a new team before 2030?
Yes
74%
27%
No
Sports
Will a Seattle pro basketball team play a game before 2030?
Yes
26%
74%
No
Economics
When will Elon Musk become a trillionaire?
Before 2030
57%
Before 2029
52%
Entertainment
When will Prison Break return?
Before Jan 1, 2029
71%
Before Jul 1, 2028
69%
Companies
Courts consider Live Nation a monopoly?
Yes
65%
35%
No
Companies
Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?
Troy Rohrbaugh
16%
Marianne Lake
51%
Economics
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO?
Before Jan 1, 2030
44%
Before Jan 1, 2029
39%
Entertainment
What will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?
More than $90
27%
More than $80
41%
Entertainment
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch?
XO Tour Llif3
55%
Rockstar
60%
Companies
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?
At least $5000
12%
At least $3000
16%
Politics
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
Hungary
9%
Greece
8%
Politics
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Spain
7%
Poland
5%
Elections
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030?
Yes
10%
90%
No
Climate and Weather
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Yes
42%
59%
No
Science and Technology
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Yes
63%
38%
No
World
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 460
6%
At least 455
16%
World
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
Yes
29%
72%
No
Transportation
Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?
Yes
78%
22%
No
Entertainment
Who will be the next James Bond?
Callum Turner
14%
Josh O'Connor
11%
Science and Technology
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Yes
77%
23%
No
Entertainment
When will Young Thug and Gunna make a song together?
Before 2030
50%
Before 2029
45%
Entertainment
Will Drake and Kendrick Lamar make a song together before 2030?
Yes
15%
85%
No
World
EU has a new member before 2030?
Yes
79%
21%
No
World
EU loses a member before 2030?
Yes
27%
73%
No
Economics
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
Yes
30%
71%
No
Entertainment
What genre will Beyonce’s next album be?
Rock
69%
Rap
18%
Politics
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
Yes
50%
51%
No
Companies
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
Yes
55%
45%
No
Companies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
Yes
17%
84%
No
Politics
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Yes
14%
87%
No
Elections
Which party will win the next U.K. election?
Green party
4%
Your Party
2%
Politics
Will Trump balance the budget?
Yes
14%
87%
No
Economics
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
Yes
20%
80%
No
Politics
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
Yes
80%
21%
No
Politics
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
At least 750 billion
29%
At least 500 billion
32%
Politics
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
$50 trillion
38%
$45 trillion
67%
Economics
Will Trump halve the trade deficit?
Yes
47%
54%
No
Politics
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
Above 800
29%
Between 750 and 800
5%
Politics
Who will win the House, Senate, and Presidency in 2028?
Republican Sweep
26%
R-House, R-Senate, D-President
5%
Economics
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
Yes
62%
38%
No
Politics
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
Yes
11%
90%
No
Politics
Will Trump resign during his term?
Yes
18%
82%
No
Politics
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Emil Bove
20%
Stephanos Bibas
7%
Elections
Next US Presidential Election Winner?
Tim Walz
1%
Wes Moore
3%
Politics
Which party will win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Republican
47%
Democratic
54%
Politics
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
Yes
12%
89%
No
Politics
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Yes
31%
70%
No
Politics
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
Yes
13%
87%
No
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